2015 Federal Election Voter Intent

April 8, 2015

MOOD OF CANADIANS IN AN ELECTION YEAR

With a Federal Election just over six months away our recent poll of 3000 Canadians (conducted March 12th to March 30th 2015) shows that the Conservatives have a 4% lead over the Liberals. Nationally the Conservatives are backed by 35% of decided voters, while 31% support the Liberals. A total of 19% would vote for the NDP if an Election were held, 9% the Green Party and 6% the Bloc.

The Conservatives show strongest in the Prairies with 58%, while the Liberals place second at 25%. Tory support is also strong BC at 35% and the west coast is also where the NDP also have their strongest national showing at 28% (the Liberals trail at 21%). In the battle ground province of Ontario the Conservatives have a slight edge over the Liberals (37% compared to 36%). Liberal voters are most likely to be found in the Maritimes (45%) while Green support is strongest in BC (16%) and the eastern provinces (11%). The story in Quebec reveals a more fragmented political scene where the Liberals sit at 31%, the Bloc have 25%, the NDP 20% and the Conservatives 19% (6% would vote Green).

At this early point this spring there are still 19% of voters that are undecided. My next post will reveal some interesting demographic finds and the reasons (the whys) behind voter intentions.

Paul Seccaspina

Behind the Numbers

Paul SeccaspinaFederal Election Voter Intent